1 Aug · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1628
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1712
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+84
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)