1 Aug · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1257
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Jesiek
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1432
FormLLLLL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)