1 Aug · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1628
FormLWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pawlik
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1480
FormLLLWL
66%
34%
🌟Mucha stays under total as underdog 69% (39)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)