1 Aug · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1421
FormLLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Wojcik
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1257
FormLLLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Wojcik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)