1 Aug · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1637
FormWWWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Lach
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1432
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~77 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+205
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)