1 Aug · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1385
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Michalczyk
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1404
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.84· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.