1 Aug · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1338
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wiza
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1283
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H84-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-66)