1 Aug · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1479
FormLWLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1701
FormLWWWW
27%
73%
🌟Mucha stays under total as underdog 69% (39)
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+222
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)