1 Aug · 20:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1538
FormWLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Brud
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1373
FormLLLWW
67%
33%
🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)