1 Aug · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1391
FormLLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Fira
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1275
FormLWLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+116
H2H42-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-35)