Mariusz Baron vs Jakub Michalski — TT Elite Series

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02 Aug · 01:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1449

1-3Final setsMichalski won

🇵🇱Jakub Michalski

ELO 1277

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 60%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 1-3 — the underdog won.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Jakub Michalski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.5

Upset

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalski.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 57% → final 6%

Jakub Michalski ▼

Biggest swing 71 ptsMichalski recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games