02 Aug · 04:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1449
0-3Final setsWiza won
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1336
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 59%. The actual result was Roman Wiza 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Roman Wiza favoured — closing 1.75
Set handicap
Roman Wiza −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Roman Wiza −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Roman Wiza.
▲ Mariusz Baronpre 56% → final 6%
Roman Wiza ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsWiza recovered from 26%57 points · 3 games