Jakub Kaczmarek vs Mariusz Koczyba — TT Elite Series

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02 Aug · 06:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek

ELO 1394

2-3Final setsKoczyba won

🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba

ELO 1558

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 71%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Jakub Kaczmarek — profile →Mariusz Koczyba — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.14

Favourite won

Total 70.5

87 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Koczyba −9.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Koczyba.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 24% → final 1%

Mariusz Koczyba ▼

Biggest swing 36 pts72 points · 5 games