Mateusz Zagajewski vs Arkadiusz Mugowski — TT Elite Series

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02 Aug · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski

ELO 1428

3-0Final setsZagajewski won

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1399

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zagajewski at 57%. The actual result was Mateusz Zagajewski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

Mateusz Zagajewski — profile →Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mateusz Zagajewski favoured — closing 1.5

Favourite won

Total 76.5

53 points played

Under

Set handicap

Mateusz Zagajewski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Mateusz Zagajewski −4.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

4.15

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Zagajewski is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Mateusz Zagajewskipre 54% → final 0%

Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼

Biggest swing 57 ptsMugowski recovered from 43%53 points · 3 games