2 Aug · 12:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Mateusz Woskowicz
ELO 1499
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Woskowicz
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1399
FormLLWLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Woskowicz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)