2 Aug · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1454
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1476
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 68% (74)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.