2 Aug · 13:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1410
FormWLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Michalczyk
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1299
FormLLLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)