2 Aug · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1350
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1415
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H47-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-15)