2 Aug · 14:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1481
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Adamus
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1446
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 68% (74)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.