2 Aug · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1300
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1350
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Lukaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H52-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (52-47)