2 Aug · 16:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1481
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Adamus
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1393
FormLWLWW
60%
40%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 68% (74)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H12-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-10)