2 Aug · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1420
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Michalczyk
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1350
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)