2 Aug · 17:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1557
FormLLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Marchlewski
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1425
FormWWWWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)