2 Aug · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1252
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1309
FormWWLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)