2 Aug · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1458
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Badura
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1504
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Badura
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)