Marcin Marchlewski vs Kacper Szurlej — TT Elite Series

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02 Aug · 17:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski

ELO 1558

3-1Final setsMarchlewski won

🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej

ELO 1574

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 56%. The actual result was Marcin Marchlewski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Marcin Marchlewski — profile →Kacper Szurlej — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marcin Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.4

Favourite won

Total 75.5

76 points played

Over

Set handicap

Marcin Marchlewski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Marcin Marchlewski −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.55

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Marchlewski is favoured to win, below means Kacper Szurlej.

▲ Marcin Marchlewskipre 53% → final 91%

Kacper Szurlej ▼

Biggest swing 66 ptsMarchlewski recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games