2 Aug · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1495
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Szurlej
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1574
FormLWLWW
41%
59%
🌟Glanowski goes over total as underdog 66% (58)
Fair odds · Szurlej
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)