2 Aug · 20:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1558
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Marchlewski
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1541
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Brud goes over total as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H20-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.