2 Aug · 22:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1566
FormLLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Szurlej
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1431
FormLLWWW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Szurlej
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)