2 Aug · 21:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1468
FormWWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1578
FormWLLLW
38%
62%
🌟Baron covers set handicap as underdog 64% (36)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H103-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (103-66)