2 Aug · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1503
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brud
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1546
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H12-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-9)