Mariusz Baron vs Grzegorz Marud — TT Elite Series

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02 Aug · 21:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1461

2-3Final setsMarud won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud

ELO 1564

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 54%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Grzegorz Marud — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.42

Favourite won

Total 76.5

96 points played

Over

Set handicap

Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Grzegorz Marud −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Marud.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 42% → final 22%

Grzegorz Marud ▼

Biggest swing 80 ptsMarud recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games