2 Aug · 23:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1471
FormLLLLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Machelski
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1237
FormLLLLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~73 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+234
H2H18-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-2)