2 Aug · 23:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1610
FormLWWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Nocun
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1491
FormWWLWL
63%
37%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)