3 Aug · 00:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1563
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Marchlewski
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1551
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Brud goes over total as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H20-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.