3 Aug · 01:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1430
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1482
FormLLLLW
44%
56%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)