3 Aug · 00:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1491
FormWWLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1679
FormWWWWW
30%
70%
🌟Guzik stays under total as favourite 69% (35)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~73 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)