3 Aug · 01:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1475
FormWLLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1679
FormWWWWW
29%
71%
🌟Guzik stays under total as favourite 69% (35)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~72 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+204
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)