3 Aug · 02:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1490
FormWLWWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Mucha
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1231
FormLLLLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Mucha
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+259
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+259)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)