3 Aug · 03:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1231
FormLLLLL
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1679
FormWLWWW
12%
88%
🌟Guzik stays under total as favourite 69% (35)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 86% · 1.16· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~69 pts
0-3
44%
1-3
31%
2-3
13%
3-2
6%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+448
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+448)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)