3 Aug · 02:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1560
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Marud
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1424
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)