3 Aug · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1520
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1588
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)