3 Aug · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1224
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Maszczynski
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1187
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Maszczynski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.