3 Aug · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1407
FormLLLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1588
FormWWLWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H9-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)