Mariusz Baron vs Grzegorz Marud — TT Elite Series

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03 Aug · 03:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1466

2-3Final setsMarud won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud

ELO 1570

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 54%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Grzegorz Marud — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 76.5

89 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Marud.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 49% → final 5%

Grzegorz Marud ▼

Biggest swing 88 ptsMarud recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games