3 Aug · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1582
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Solilo
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1561
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.