3 Aug · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1637
FormWWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Balcerzak
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1487
FormLWWLL
66%
34%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H17-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-7)