3 Aug · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1615
FormWLWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wichowski
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1445
FormWLLWL
68%
32%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H25-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-10)