3 Aug · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1358
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Iwasyszyn
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1353
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H63-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.