3 Aug · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1445
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Adamus
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1409
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.